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Red79
496725.9
587811.0
439215.9
Blue40
97558.7
554715.3
437518.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801007940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.9
26.027.9
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End2.1
red by 7.6
4375
#23
18.30.0
16.716.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Second
4392
#17
15.92.5
15.217.7
Auto9.2
Teleop6.0
End0.7
red by 0.6
5547
#20
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
5878
#18
11.01.9
9.711.5
Auto6.5
Teleop2.9
End1.5
red by 2.2
9755
#32
8.70.0
8.78.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed