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Red53
85728.2
439814.8
65587.8
Blue40
92496.5
663714.9
608812.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573202040801005340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#3
28.20.1
27.627.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.0
End3.1
red by 13.3
6637
#33
14.90.5
13.413.9
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Second
4398
#26
14.80.1
14.114.0
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 2.3
6088
#28
12.60.5
11.111.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Third
6558
#31
7.80.1
7.17.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
red by 1.3
9249
#36
6.50.5
7.68.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed