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Red50
49887.7
57068.8
258627.2
Blue39
557720.0
521312.0
77135.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4838102030607080905039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.5
27.027.5
Auto12.0
Teleop13.3
End1.9
red by 7.2
20.00.2
20.220.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Second
5706
#30
8.80.5
8.69.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 3.2
5213
#29
12.00.2
11.311.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.3
End2.0
Third
4988
#41
7.70.5
7.07.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.1
red by 2.5
7713
#38
5.20.2
4.44.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed