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Red62
607719.4
496725.9
720215.1
Blue65
439137.3
954811.9
97558.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6866204060801001206265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.1
27.927.9
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End2.1
blue by 11.4
37.30.1
36.936.8
Auto15.8
Teleop20.8
End0.7
Second
19.40.1
18.818.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
red by 7.5
9548
#24
11.90.1
14.314.1
Auto6.3
Teleop3.3
End2.2
Third
7202
#27
15.10.1
14.514.5
Auto7.5
Teleop6.1
End1.4
red by 6.3
9755
#32
8.70.1
8.68.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed