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Red28
587811.0
778218.1
554715.3
Blue42
92057.8
159621.4
715421.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47602040801001202842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7782
#11
18.11.1
17.016.0
Auto8.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 3.3
21.40.7
24.523.8
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
5547
#20
15.31.1
15.314.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 5.9
7154
#10
21.20.7
19.919.2
Auto10.9
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Third
5878
#18
11.01.1
11.510.5
Auto6.5
Teleop2.9
End1.5
red by 3.1
9205
#40
7.80.9
8.47.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed