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Red47
496725.9
159621.4
954811.9
Blue53
715421.2
972210.2
439814.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774320601001204753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.92.3
27.925.7
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End2.1
red by 4.7
7154
#10
21.20.7
19.219.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Second
21.42.3
23.821.5
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 6.6
4398
#26
14.80.8
14.014.8
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Third
9548
#24
11.92.3
14.111.9
Auto6.3
Teleop3.3
End2.2
red by 1.7
9722
#13
10.20.7
9.410.1
Auto6.0
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed