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Red59
437518.3
778218.1
548613.3
Blue9
439215.9
57025.0
92496.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5434020406080100599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#23
18.30.8
17.117.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
red by 2.4
4392
#17
15.91.8
18.316.5
Auto9.2
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Second
7782
#11
18.10.8
16.016.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
red by 11.6
9249
#36
6.51.6
8.16.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End0.9
Third
5486
#25
13.30.8
13.314.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End0.4
red by 8.4
5702
#39
5.01.6
6.55.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed