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Red38
65587.8
967413.9
91888.1
Blue59
92057.8
439137.3
587811.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256604060801001203859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9674
#35
13.90.7
13.213.9
Auto7.1
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 23.4
37.30.3
36.837.1
Auto15.8
Teleop20.8
End0.7
Second
9188
#42
8.10.7
7.48.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 2.9
5878
#18
11.00.3
10.510.8
Auto6.5
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
6558
#31
7.80.7
7.17.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 0.1
9205
#40
7.80.3
7.57.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed