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Red0
557720.0
439215.9
548613.3
Blue71
159621.4
607719.4
531413.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56610204080100120071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#6DQ
20.00.5
20.820.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.4
blue by 1.4
21.40.4
21.521.9
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
4392
#17DQ
15.90.5
16.516.0
Auto9.2
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 3.5
19.40.4
19.519.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Third
5486
#25DQ
13.30.5
14.113.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End0.4
blue by 0.1
5314
#14
13.50.4
13.614.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2