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Red90
608812.6
656924.7
85728.2
Blue69
663714.9
607913.4
437518.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75470204060801009069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#3
28.20.3
27.928.2
Auto10.1
Teleop15.0
End3.1
red by 9.9
4375
#23
18.30.5
17.918.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Second
24.70.3
24.324.7
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 9.7
6637
#33
14.90.5
14.615.1
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
6088
#28
12.60.3
12.212.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
blue by 0.9
6079
#12
13.40.5
13.113.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.0