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Red69
360220.6
550118.5
258627.2
Blue50
554715.3
778218.1
715421.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7354204060801006950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.0
26.426.4
Auto12.0
Teleop13.3
End1.9
red by 6.1
7154
#10
21.20.0
19.919.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Second
20.60.0
19.719.7
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.7
red by 2.5
7782
#11
18.10.0
16.816.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Third
5501
#16
18.50.0
17.617.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End1.4
red by 3.2
5547
#20
15.30.0
14.314.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2