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Red82
608812.6
656924.7
85728.2
Blue71
258627.2
550118.5
360220.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7370204060801001208271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#3
28.20.4
28.228.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.0
End3.1
red by 1.0
27.20.2
26.426.6
Auto12.0
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Second
24.70.4
24.725.0
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 4.1
20.60.2
19.719.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Third
6088
#28
12.60.4
12.612.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
blue by 5.9
5501
#16
18.50.2
17.617.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End1.4