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Red44
531413.5
607719.4
159621.4
Blue82
554715.3
778218.1
715421.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61562040801004482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.2
21.621.4
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 0.2
7154
#10
21.20.7
20.220.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Second
19.40.2
19.619.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
red by 1.3
7782
#11
18.10.7
17.117.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Third
5314
#14
13.50.2
13.713.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
blue by 1.8
5547
#20
15.30.7
14.315.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2