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Red84
776223.6
102329.9
81824.1
Blue113
546033.7
609815.3
317535.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819305015084113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.2
28.929.1
Auto9.5
Teleop18.0
End2.4
blue by 5.8
35.70.3
35.135.4
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Second
818
#7
24.10.2
23.123.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 9.6
33.70.3
33.133.4
Auto12.5
Teleop18.9
End2.4
Third
7762
#28
23.60.2
22.622.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.3
red by 8.3
6098
#18
15.30.3
14.614.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.9