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Red73
118931.2
353930.8
921213.8
Blue80
546033.7
609815.3
317535.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83942040601201401607380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.1
31.331.2
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 4.5
35.70.2
35.335.1
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Second
30.80.1
30.930.8
Auto12.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
blue by 3.0
33.70.2
33.333.1
Auto12.5
Teleop18.9
End2.4
Third
9212
#27
13.80.1
13.913.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.7
blue by 1.4
6098
#18
15.30.2
14.814.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.9