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Red59
317535.7
586015.5
75971.2
Blue30
955819.2
26049.2
78099.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563402040801001205930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.7
29.830.5
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.8
red by 16.5
9558
#12
19.20.4
16.616.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Second
5860
#32
15.50.7
14.214.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.9
red by 5.9
7809
#17
9.60.4
7.87.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
7597
#31
1.20.7
3.84.6
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.0
End1.0
blue by 8.1
2604
#25
9.20.4
9.18.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed