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Red52
118931.2
97474.6
95287.5
Blue53
592617.0
88269.0
353930.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395502060801005253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.7
22.723.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End1.7
red by 0.5
30.80.1
23.123.0
Auto12.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
9528
#24
7.50.7
7.48.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.2
blue by 9.5
5926
#19
17.00.1
17.717.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Third
9747
#37
4.60.7
6.77.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.8
blue by 4.4
8826
#11
9.00.1
6.96.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed