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Red32
97363.8
612021.3
921213.8
Blue17
656614.0
52254.7
52393.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38260102030506070803217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.1
20.120.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End1.6
red by 7.4
6566
#15
14.01.1
12.211.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Second
9212
#27
13.80.1
9.59.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.7
red by 9.1
5225
#23
4.71.1
4.43.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
Third
9736
#38
3.80.1
3.83.7
Auto1.2
Teleop2.0
End0.6
red by 0.6
5239
#36
3.21.1
8.77.5
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed