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Red21
586015.5
776223.6
52254.7
Blue49
656710.8
75971.2
612021.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433802060801001202149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7762
#28
23.61.1
19.918.8
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.3
red by 2.3
21.30.1
20.019.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Second
5860
#32
15.51.1
14.913.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.9
red by 4.7
6567
#16
10.80.1
10.410.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Third
5225
#23
4.71.1
3.22.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
red by 3.6
7597
#31
1.20.1
4.64.5
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned