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Red42
976510.1
102329.9
97363.8
Blue47
52356.4
118931.2
88269.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33450204060801004247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.2
19.820.1
Auto9.5
Teleop18.0
End2.4
blue by 1.3
31.20.4
23.423.8
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Second
9765
#34
10.10.2
8.08.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
red by 1.1
8826
#11
9.00.4
6.87.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
9736
#38
3.80.2
3.73.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 2.7
5235
#35
6.40.4
8.99.3
Auto1.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed