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Red45
26049.2
776223.6
656614.0
Blue63
931228.4
78099.6
609815.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424901020306070804563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7762
#28
23.60.4
20.520.9
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.3
blue by 4.8
28.41.1
24.025.2
Auto11.5
Teleop14.3
End2.6
Second
6566
#15
14.00.4
12.012.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 1.3
6098
#18
15.31.1
11.712.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Third
2604
#25
9.20.4
6.36.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 0.3
7809
#17
9.61.1
8.09.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed