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Red97
118931.2
555511.8
353930.8
Blue55
921213.8
81824.1
609915.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68452060801001209755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.22.2
25.127.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End1.7
red by 7.1
818
#7
24.10.7
18.819.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
Second
30.82.2
24.326.5
Auto12.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 15.7
6099
#33
15.00.7
15.916.6
Auto7.0
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
5555
#29
11.82.2
9.411.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 2.1
9212
#27
13.80.7
8.49.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed