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Red40
78135.3
81824.1
811513.8
Blue30
719727.1
52393.2
118931.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37692060801001204030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#7
24.10.5
19.519.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 7.1
31.21.9
27.325.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Second
8115
#13
13.80.5
13.513.0
Auto7.1
Teleop5.6
End1.1
blue by 13.3
27.11.9
25.023.1
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.8
Third
7813
#20
5.30.5
4.54.0
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End1.3
red by 2.1
5239
#36
3.21.9
6.34.4
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed