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Red27
586015.5
49616.7
88269.0
Blue63
921213.8
656710.8
842313.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3836102030506070802763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5860
#32
15.50.5
14.213.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.9
red by 1.7
9212
#27
13.81.4
9.110.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Second
8826
#11
9.00.5
8.78.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 4.9
8423
#14
13.81.4
14.215.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
4961
#26
6.70.5
10.910.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.4
blue by 4.1
6567
#16
10.81.4
9.210.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed