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Red39
612021.3
52356.4
609815.3
Blue59
592617.0
75971.2
719727.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4546303540505560653959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.6
20.119.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End1.6
blue by 5.8
27.11.3
20.321.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.8
Second
6098
#18
15.30.7
13.012.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.9
blue by 1.7
5926
#19
17.01.3
16.217.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Third
5235
#35
6.40.6
9.89.2
Auto1.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 5.3
7597
#31
1.21.3
2.74.1
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed