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Red80
102329.9
811513.8
931228.4
Blue52
546033.7
52254.7
95287.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644002060808052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.0
18.419.3
Auto9.5
Teleop18.0
End2.4
blue by 3.8
33.70.2
28.028.2
Auto12.5
Teleop18.9
End2.4
Second
28.41.0
24.024.9
Auto11.5
Teleop14.3
End2.6
red by 20.9
9528
#24
7.50.2
7.77.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Third
8115
#13
13.81.0
13.014.0
Auto7.1
Teleop5.6
End1.1
red by 9.1
5225
#23
4.70.2
3.63.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned