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Red22
49616.7
81824.1
75971.2
Blue39
976510.1
78135.3
481018.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382902060802239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#7
24.10.7
19.018.2
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
red by 5.3
4810
#10
18.90.8
14.315.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Second
4961
#26
6.70.7
10.49.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.4
blue by 3.4
9765
#34
10.10.8
8.89.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Third
7597
#31
1.20.7
3.83.1
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.0
End1.0
blue by 4.1
7813
#20
5.30.8
4.04.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed