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Red57
52393.2
931228.4
612021.3
Blue33
366718.9
921213.8
91486.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603202040801005733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.4
25.225.6
Auto11.5
Teleop14.3
End2.6
red by 9.5
3667
#21
18.90.0
16.616.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.0
End0.8
Second
21.30.4
21.622.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End1.6
red by 7.5
9212
#27
13.80.0
10.410.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Third
5239
#36
3.20.4
4.44.8
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End0.8
blue by 2.8
9148
#22
6.00.0
5.25.3
Auto3.7
Teleop0.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed