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Red41
88269.0
78099.6
102329.9
Blue69
656710.8
546033.7
481018.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4567204060801004169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.2
26.426.2
Auto9.5
Teleop18.0
End2.4
blue by 3.8
33.70.4
32.532.9
Auto12.5
Teleop18.9
End2.4
Second
7809
#17
9.60.2
9.08.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 9.3
4810
#10
18.90.4
15.015.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Third
8826
#11
9.00.2
8.28.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 1.8
6567
#16
10.80.4
10.510.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed