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Red48
97474.6
49616.7
317535.7
Blue41
91486.0
4536.1
931228.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6138020801004841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.4
35.735.2
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.8
red by 7.3
28.40.1
25.625.7
Auto11.5
Teleop14.3
End2.6
Second
4961
#26
6.70.4
9.79.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.4
red by 0.5
453
#30
6.10.1
5.96.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Third
9747
#37
4.60.4
6.96.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.8
blue by 1.5
9148
#22
6.00.1
5.35.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed