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Red39
88269.0
609815.3
52254.7
Blue15
49616.7
26049.2
52356.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282701020405060703915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6098
#18
15.30.9
13.614.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 6.0
2604
#25
9.20.6
9.99.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Second
8826
#11
9.00.9
8.08.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
red by 2.3
4961
#26
6.70.6
7.36.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.4
Third
5225
#23
4.70.9
3.84.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
blue by 1.7
5235
#35
6.40.6
7.16.4
Auto1.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed