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Red100
317535.7
609815.3
546033.7
Blue33
656614.0
842313.8
555511.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10035020608012014010033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.3
35.035.3
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.8
red by 21.8
6566
#15
14.00.1
13.913.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Second
33.70.3
33.033.3
Auto12.5
Teleop18.9
End2.4
red by 19.9
8423
#14
13.80.1
13.713.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
6098
#18
15.30.3
14.514.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 3.5
5555
#29
11.80.1
11.711.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End0.0