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Red33
99934.1
99854.9
721123.9
Blue86
560321.3
508420.2
55096.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2360040801001201401603386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.2
23.223.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End2.6
red by 2.6
21.30.9
21.522.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Second
9985
#24
4.90.3
6.05.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 15.2
20.20.9
20.321.2
Auto8.8
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Third
9993
#30
4.10.3
6.66.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 2.8
5509
#16
6.90.9
8.49.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned