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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 4.5
Second
red by 1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Missed17%Missed
Ensemble
5%Missed3%Earned