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Red58
214537.0
52298.8
60719.9
Blue45
66426.6
439816.9
924523.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625401001502002503005845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.1
34.834.9
Auto14.5
Teleop20.5
End2.1
red by 13.8
9245
#12
23.30.3
24.424.0
Auto10.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Second
6071
#15
9.90.1
9.79.8
Auto6.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 6.9
4398
#14
16.90.3
16.015.7
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Third
5229
#29
8.80.1
10.510.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End0.4
red by 2.2
6642
#17
6.60.3
9.89.5
Auto3.9
Teleop0.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed