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Red71
851728.7
168427.4
542418.5
Blue20
261912.0
967311.2
99875.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97280501502007120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#13
28.70.8
29.829.0
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End2.1
red by 16.6
2619
#27
12.01.0
13.512.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.0
Second
27.40.8
27.827.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.7
End1.1
red by 16.2
9673
#28
11.21.0
12.911.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Third
5424
#21
18.50.8
21.520.7
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End1.3
red by 12.8
9987
#19
5.71.7
4.93.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed