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Red85
99875.7
214537.0
511424.3
Blue28
50469.4
96854.3
99934.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80902040601001201401608528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.2
35.636.8
Auto14.5
Teleop20.5
End2.1
red by 27.7
5046
#10
9.40.5
7.57.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Second
24.31.2
21.823.0
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End3.0
red by 19.9
9685
#20
4.30.5
4.24.7
Auto3.3
Teleop0.4
End0.6
Third
9987
#19
5.72.0
4.96.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.8
red by 1.6
9993
#30
4.10.8
4.55.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed