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Red25
508420.2
377013.9
66426.6
Blue61
168427.4
571228.7
675314.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4486020601001201401602561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.3
20.018.7
Auto8.8
Teleop8.5
End2.9
blue by 8.5
28.71.1
29.328.2
Auto13.6
Teleop13.2
End1.9
Second
3770
#31
13.91.3
16.014.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
blue by 13.5
27.41.1
28.026.9
Auto5.7
Teleop20.7
End1.1
Third
6642
#17
6.61.3
8.77.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.8
End1.9
blue by 7.9
14.41.1
15.514.4
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed