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Red72
721123.9
50469.4
571228.7
Blue43
35378.4
60719.9
168427.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69470204060801001201407243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.8
28.229.0
Auto13.6
Teleop13.2
End1.9
red by 1.3
27.40.1
26.926.8
Auto5.7
Teleop20.7
End1.1
Second
23.90.8
23.424.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End2.6
red by 14.0
6071
#15
9.90.1
9.99.8
Auto6.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Third
5046
#10
9.40.8
7.98.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
red by 1.0
3537
#11
8.40.1
8.18.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed