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Red83
508420.2
851728.7
511424.3
Blue38
521625.4
377013.9
52298.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8153020401001201401608338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#13
28.70.9
28.329.1
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End2.1
red by 3.2
5216
#23
25.40.9
26.025.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Second
24.30.9
23.023.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End3.0
red by 10.4
3770
#31
13.90.9
14.713.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
Third
20.20.9
18.719.5
Auto8.8
Teleop8.5
End2.9
red by 11.4
5229
#29
8.80.9
10.19.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed