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Red11
99875.7
99934.1
66426.6
Blue75
99854.9
924523.3
967311.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2036060801001175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6642
#17
6.60.7
7.46.7
Auto3.9
Teleop0.8
End1.9
blue by 16.7
9245
#12
23.30.9
22.823.7
Auto10.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Second
9987
#19
5.71.2
6.85.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 5.5
9673
#28
11.20.9
10.311.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Third
9993
#30
4.11.2
5.34.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 0.8
9985
#24
4.91.5
3.54.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed