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Red19
55096.9
521625.4
99875.7
Blue37
35378.4
439816.9
377013.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584901001502001937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#23
25.42.0
30.027.9
Auto6.8
Teleop17.2
End1.5
red by 8.6
4398
#14
16.90.6
15.414.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Second
5509
#16
6.92.0
11.89.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 6.9
3770
#31
13.90.6
19.919.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
Third
9987
#19
5.73.4
7.54.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 2.7
3537
#11
8.40.6
10.29.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed