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Red49
571228.7
887325.8
52298.8
Blue69
214537.0
261912.0
99934.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions944901504969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.72.1
35.033.0
Auto13.6
Teleop13.2
End1.9
blue by 8.3
37.00.7
32.933.6
Auto14.5
Teleop20.5
End2.1
Second
8873
#25
25.82.1
30.828.7
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End2.6
red by 13.8
2619
#27
12.00.7
13.714.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.0
Third
5229
#29
8.82.1
14.112.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End0.4
red by 4.7
9993
#30
4.11.1
7.38.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed