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Red40
542418.5
924523.3
96854.3
Blue63
675314.4
721123.9
508420.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59632040801004063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#12
23.30.9
24.523.5
Auto10.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
blue by 0.6
23.90.4
21.722.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Second
5424
#21
18.50.9
23.923.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End1.3
blue by 1.7
20.20.4
19.419.8
Auto8.8
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Third
9685
#20
4.30.9
5.74.8
Auto3.3
Teleop0.4
End0.6
blue by 10.1
14.40.4
15.816.2
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed