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Red24
967311.2
55096.9
377013.9
Blue31
553417.7
150416.1
50469.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49510204060802431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#31
13.91.4
19.318.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
blue by 3.8
5534
#22
17.71.0
22.621.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Second
9673
#28
11.21.4
15.714.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
blue by 5.0
16.11.0
15.914.9
Auto7.3
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Third
5509
#16
6.91.4
9.78.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 2.4
5046
#10
9.41.0
7.56.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed