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Red16
522910.7
43826.7
261913.7
Blue76
508429.5
851724.3
515013.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25510102030406070801676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#13
13.70.8
10.49.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 15.8
29.51.9
21.423.3
Auto13.1
Teleop13.9
End2.5
Second
5229
#24
10.71.3
9.38.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 13.5
24.31.9
14.216.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Third
4382
#35
6.71.3
6.34.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
blue by 6.6
5150
#25
13.31.9
7.39.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed