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Red28
819316.7
55389.2
609714.4
Blue63
606718.9
477619.0
607110.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404502060802863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8193
#27
16.70.6
14.013.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
blue by 2.3
19.00.5
16.617.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Second
6097
#29
14.40.6
14.013.5
Auto7.2
Teleop6.0
End1.2
blue by 4.5
6067
#21
18.90.5
14.515.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Third
5538
#32
9.20.6
8.57.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 1.5
6071
#15
10.70.5
8.79.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned