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Red40
92276.1
516625.3
495620.8
Blue46
777213.9
521623.2
550911.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47431020306070804046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.1
21.921.8
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 2.2
23.20.4
17.517.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Second
4956
#10
20.80.1
15.915.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
red by 6.9
7772
#23
13.90.4
12.613.1
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Third
9227
#38
6.10.1
4.14.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 5.6
5509
#22
11.80.4
9.29.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed