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Red10
43826.7
97592.7
66318.0
Blue58
261913.7
96855.7
598216.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9290204050601058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6631
#33
8.00.2
5.25.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 8.6
5982
#14
16.60.2
9.39.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Second
4382
#35
6.70.3
4.94.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
blue by 7.0
2619
#13
13.70.2
9.69.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Third
9759
#40
2.70.2
0.50.3
Auto0.5
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 3.0
9685
#34
5.70.2
4.74.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned