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Red59
511434.8
519310.7
522910.7
Blue53
606718.9
819316.7
560322.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50530204060801005953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.5
28.929.4
Auto14.1
Teleop19.5
End1.2
red by 12.4
5603
#11
22.40.4
19.019.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Second
5193
#18
10.70.5
8.38.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 8.2
6067
#21
18.90.4
15.015.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Third
5229
#24
10.70.8
8.08.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 5.9
8193
#27
16.70.4
13.413.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed